Mechanics of History

Blog devoted to promote use of economics and game theory tools to understand the history, and to predict future events.

Tuesday, April 15, 2008

Strange physics phenomena

For 10 month since July 2007 I observe a strange phenomena:
a time runs as somebody tuned on a fast forward function or as in dilatation effect in Einstein theory. Watches and people goes normal but every work takes me twice as much time as before (or worse).

Example: I am going to grocery for shopping which shoul tak me about 30 minutes (1/2 hour) and when I am back home my watch shows that I was out for 2 hours. My speed is of course much slower than "c" (light speed).

Also many trees flowers (several years old) and birds appear from nowhere every week in my vicinity (an general in Warsaw, the capital of Poland), and nobody except me notice this - so there are some positives.

By the way: Famous phisician Everett just died (yesterday I guess) - my grndmother also (5th April, Saturday).

Friday, November 23, 2007

Economic crisis in 2008?

First a note about "humbug theory" in previous post. I was wrong - everything is much stranger than I thought. I have no explanation for some phenomenas - except maybe expalnations based on Everett-Wheleer theory - but it is of course against Ockham razor.

About possible economic crisis in 2008

There are obvious sympthoms of unbalance of some economies - example USA, China, Russia.

A prosperity of last few years was a consequence of USA policy
1. Hughe government spendings (for the war in Iraqi) - expansive fiscal policy that affected USA, china and petroleum exporting countries
2. High supply of US dolars (see above) + low interest rates - expansive monetary policy that affected whole world (because dollar is an international currency).

This combined mix of policies very effectiwe fueled World economy but cannot be continued forever. So therefore there is a high probability od serious stock market fall in next year (2008) - similiar as in 1987 because of Reganomics.

Of cours there is a chance to avoid a serious crisis. Appropriate mix of macroeconomic "moves" can prevent the crisis. Esspecially changes of interest rates in Europe in USA (lowering and increasing the rates in right moments). But I am a pesimist because few economies are now addicted to the policy mix mentioned above, and without serius shock chances to changes are slight.

Tuesday, November 14, 2006

Science Fiction continued...


Ancient Civilizations
http://historymech.bravehost.com/rewritten.html

1.
There is a chance for a serious stock market fall on World financial markets in next Spring (2007) or in next 12 month thereafter, because some markets are overheated, and (as we remember from the history of XIXth century) in liberal economy every 10 years (approximately) a big stock market happened.
Although I may be wrong here because Internet stabilizes the World economy (so serious crisis may not come).

2.
Comment to one of previous posts (Science Fiction: 24 Oct 2005)

Assuming that my hypothesis about “computer system created by some Alien civilization to program our history” is true (it may be my madness or great humbug, or true explanation is much stranger, than we can imagine), we can made some reasonable guesses made on the laws of history:

  • We can imagine this computer system is something like “great city” or “Internet” deployed in 4-dimensional space and joining different 3-dimensional universes (planes). This means that security system (I called SBM) is only one
    of many components of this “city system”.
  • Some economic and historic phenomena suggest that this “city system” could support a life of living organisms for ever, and reasons for death (and
    aging) are pure economic - are something like “emigration” to another, more comfortable “planes”. Ex. religions have some external support like humanitarian organizations in our world (or banks or social security systems all analogies could be true and false the same time).
  • It means everybody who died may still live out there.
  • I think this system is undestroyable, and moreover maybe there is no chance to ultimately kill anybody (but I may be wrong here).
  • Our civilization will be gradually assimilated into this "city system", so gently that most people do not even see what happened (honestly it already happened).

As you remember this may be a great humbug. These assumptions are based generally on two premises:

  • There are plenty of phenomena in our history (from early beginning) that could not be explained without assuming that our history is manipulated by some external power which is aware of laws of history and economics (i.e. understands the problem of limited resources - like for ex. human knowledge and understanding). Maybe one system, maybe an alliance of systems - maybe everyone have some “guardian angel” program.
  • My madness were too ridiculous, too fast changing, and too “quick-and-dirty” prepared, so have to come from an external computer system (maybe programmed from time to time by some intelligent operator).

Well, this is still more like idea for a science fiction story than a scientifis hipothesis.

Reassuming: “Only one thing I know is that I know nothing”.

Slawomir Dzieniszewski

Thursday, January 05, 2006

Another e-mail

I sent e-mail with the information about Mechanics of History

to the President of Poland (listy@prezydent.pl )
and the Prime Minister of Poland (cirinfo@kprm.gov.pl )

Wednesday, November 09, 2005

Polish Parliament

I sent e-mail with link to Mechanics of History (alternate address - probably inducing less technical problems than Geocities) to the leaders of major power in Polish Parliament (called Sejm):

Zbigniew.Wassermann@sejm.pl ; Jaroslaw.Walesa@sejm.pl ; Jaroslaw.Kaczynski@sejm.pl ; Donald.Tusk@sejm.pl ; Jan.Rokita@sejm.pl ; Roman.Giertych@sejm.pl ; Waldemar.Pawlak@sejm.pl ; Wojciech.Olejniczak@sejm.pl ; Andrzej.Lepper@sejm.pl ; sdpl@onet.pl

Monday, October 24, 2005

Science Fiction

After 11th September 2001 I had thousands attack of madness. There were day when I was attacked by another madness every minute, and can think rationally for no more than a hour a day (but not in one piece). However in spite of them I generally behaved more rationale than most of normal sane people.

There was a few strange phenomena there:

  1. Attacks of madness were to ridiculous to believe (ex. I have attacks based on Winnie the Pooh). And ridiculous thoughts, even when I falsified them immediately, came back again and again for days or months.
  2. Attacks were especially strong, when I tried to write or to contact with other people to promote my Mechanics of History.
  3. Attacks became weaker over time, as more people heard about Mechanics of History (or as more and more countries turn to democracies).
  4. The same my skills (like English, ability to learn, writing skills, math skills) regenerated over time.
  5. There were tactical patterns in these attacks (to force me to do or not to do something, ex. to turn on the TV in times of Bieslan tragedy, Sep 2004).
  6. People around me behaved strange, making and saying things that amplify my madness (ex. a friend who desperately want to discuss about Harry Potter, when I had attack based on magic).
So, my (ridiculous indeed) hypothesis is that this was an effect of advanced weapon.
See Private SETI hypothesis (June 2005).
Two annotations here:
  1. “Limited ability to affect material world” still means, they can destroy our civilization in a week.
  2. With such technology advantage they (no doubt) could offer many useful technologies like: cures for diseases, technologies to regenerate human body (something like “eternal youth”), that could be with ease offered to people using the same network that is used to control minds.

I have also tried to incorporate some of my experiences into science fiction stories (text here are in Polish, so you have to translate them first).

Although, as I said, I was totally mad (an I can imagine a thousands of others quite good explanation of this phenomena) so this is may be not the true answer. So I am presenting this outright ridiculous hypothesis only because, If it is true, other people have right to know. But remember: I have any material proves here.

And finally, I think that I survived only because I had many good luck, not because I am especially strong or intelligent. Examples above (about Harry and Winnie) may seem humorous, but I can give you thousands of truly dreadful examples.

Wednesday, September 07, 2005

Blockade

Another day of mental blockade - I can't do nothing. No work. No think.
http://www.geocities.com/historymech/