Mechanics of History

Strange physics phenomena

2008-04-15T18:26:00.003+02:00

For 10 month since July 2007 I observe a strange phenomena:
a time runs as somebody tuned on a fast forward function or as in dilatation effect in Einstein theory. Watches and people goes normal but every work takes me twice as much time as before (or worse).

Example: I am going to grocery for shopping which shoul tak me about 30 minutes (1/2 hour) and when I am back home my watch shows that I was out for 2 hours. My speed is of course much slower than "c" (light speed).

Also many trees flowers (several years old) and birds appear from nowhere every week in my vicinity (an general in Warsaw, the capital of Poland), and nobody except me notice this - so there are some positives.

By the way: Famous phisician Everett just died (yesterday I guess) - my grndmother also (5th April, Saturday).

Economic crisis in 2008?

2007-11-23T14:27:00.000+01:00

First a note about "humbug theory" in previous post. I was wrong - everything is much stranger than I thought. I have no explanation for some phenomenas - except maybe expalnations based on Everett-Wheleer theory - but it is of course against Ockham razor.

About possible economic crisis in 2008

There are obvious sympthoms of unbalance of some economies - example USA, China, Russia.

A prosperity of last few years was a consequence of USA policy
1. Hughe government spendings (for the war in Iraqi) - expansive fiscal policy that affected USA, china and petroleum exporting countries
2. High supply of US dolars (see above) + low interest rates - expansive monetary policy that affected whole world (because dollar is an international currency).

This combined mix of policies very effectiwe fueled World economy but cannot be continued forever. So therefore there is a high probability od serious stock market fall in next year (2008) - similiar as in 1987 because of Reganomics.

Of cours there is a chance to avoid a serious crisis. Appropriate mix of macroeconomic "moves" can prevent the crisis. Esspecially changes of interest rates in Europe in USA (lowering and increasing the rates in right moments). But I am a pesimist because few economies are now addicted to the policy mix mentioned above, and without serius shock chances to changes are slight.

Science Fiction continued...

2006-11-14T13:15:00.000+01:00

Ancient Civilizations
http://historymech.bravehost.com/rewritten.html

1.
There is a chance for a serious stock market fall on World financial markets in next Spring (2007) or in next 12 month thereafter, because some markets are overheated, and (as we remember from the history of XIXth century) in liberal economy every 10 years (approximately) a big stock market happened.
Although I may be wrong here because Internet stabilizes the World economy (so serious crisis may not come).

2.
Comment to one of previous posts (Science Fiction: 24 Oct 2005)

Assuming that my hypothesis about “computer system created by some Alien civilization to program our history” is true (it may be my madness or great humbug, or true explanation is much stranger, than we can imagine), we can made some reasonable guesses made on the laws of history:

We can imagine this computer system is something like “great city” or “Internet” deployed in 4-dimensional space and joining different 3-dimensional universes (planes). This means that security system (I called SBM) is only one
of many components of this “city system”.
Some economic and historic phenomena suggest that this “city system” could support a life of living organisms for ever, and reasons for death (and
aging) are pure economic - are something like “emigration” to another, more comfortable “planes”. Ex. religions have some external support like humanitarian organizations in our world (or banks or social security systems all analogies could be true and false the same time).
It means everybody who died may still live out there.
I think this system is undestroyable, and moreover maybe there is no chance to ultimately kill anybody (but I may be wrong here).
Our civilization will be gradually assimilated into this "city system", so gently that most people do not even see what happened (honestly it already happened).

As you remember this may be a great humbug. These assumptions are based generally on two premises:

There are plenty of phenomena in our history (from early beginning) that could not be explained without assuming that our history is manipulated by some external power which is aware of laws of history and economics (i.e. understands the problem of limited resources - like for ex. human knowledge and understanding). Maybe one system, maybe an alliance of systems - maybe everyone have some “guardian angel” program.
My madness were too ridiculous, too fast changing, and too “quick-and-dirty” prepared, so have to come from an external computer system (maybe programmed from time to time by some intelligent operator).

Well, this is still more like idea for a science fiction story than a scientifis hipothesis.

Reassuming: “Only one thing I know is that I know nothing”.

Slawomir Dzieniszewski

Another e-mail

2006-01-05T11:50:00.000+01:00

I sent e-mail with the information about Mechanics of History

to the President of Poland (listy@prezydent.pl )
and the Prime Minister of Poland (cirinfo@kprm.gov.pl )

Polish Parliament

2005-11-09T13:07:00.000+01:00

I sent e-mail with link to Mechanics of History (alternate address - probably inducing less technical problems than Geocities) to the leaders of major power in Polish Parliament (called Sejm):

Zbigniew.Wassermann@sejm.pl ; Jaroslaw.Walesa@sejm.pl ; Jaroslaw.Kaczynski@sejm.pl ; Donald.Tusk@sejm.pl ; Jan.Rokita@sejm.pl ; Roman.Giertych@sejm.pl ; Waldemar.Pawlak@sejm.pl ; Wojciech.Olejniczak@sejm.pl ; Andrzej.Lepper@sejm.pl ; sdpl@onet.pl

Science Fiction

2005-10-24T14:15:00.000+02:00

After 11th September 2001 I had thousands attack of madness. There were day when I was attacked by another madness every minute, and can think rationally for no more than a hour a day (but not in one piece). However in spite of them I generally behaved more rationale than most of normal sane people.

There was a few strange phenomena there:

Attacks of madness were to ridiculous to believe (ex. I have attacks based on Winnie the Pooh). And ridiculous thoughts, even when I falsified them immediately, came back again and again for days or months.
Attacks were especially strong, when I tried to write or to contact with other people to promote my Mechanics of History.
Attacks became weaker over time, as more people heard about Mechanics of History (or as more and more countries turn to democracies).
The same my skills (like English, ability to learn, writing skills, math skills) regenerated over time.
There were tactical patterns in these attacks (to force me to do or not to do something, ex. to turn on the TV in times of Bieslan tragedy, Sep 2004).
People around me behaved strange, making and saying things that amplify my madness (ex. a friend who desperately want to discuss about Harry Potter, when I had attack based on magic).

So, my (ridiculous indeed) hypothesis is that this was an effect of advanced weapon.
See Private SETI hypothesis (June 2005).
Two annotations here:

“Limited ability to affect material world” still means, they can destroy our civilization in a week.
With such technology advantage they (no doubt) could offer many useful technologies like: cures for diseases, technologies to regenerate human body (something like “eternal youth”), that could be with ease offered to people using the same network that is used to control minds.

I have also tried to incorporate some of my experiences into science fiction stories (text here are in Polish, so you have to translate them first).

Although, as I said, I was totally mad (an I can imagine a thousands of others quite good explanation of this phenomena) so this is may be not the true answer. So I am presenting this outright ridiculous hypothesis only because, If it is true, other people have right to know. But remember: I have any material proves here.

And finally, I think that I survived only because I had many good luck, not because I am especially strong or intelligent. Examples above (about Harry and Winnie) may seem humorous, but I can give you thousands of truly dreadful examples.

Blockade

2005-09-07T15:34:00.000+02:00

Another day of mental blockade - I can't do nothing. No work. No think.
http://www.geocities.com/historymech/

Psychohistory and politics

2005-09-06T10:26:00.000+02:00

A post that was originaly published at Yahoo GeoCities Psychohistory group:
http://groups.yahoo.com/group/psychohistory/

It is sad but tring to create psychohistory is impossible to keep from politics. First of all (as Asimov stated) this theory IS about politics. So trying to avoid politics is like trying to discover airplane but not to fly, or trying to discover a new medicine, but refuse to heal people.

I will give you three examples of political consequences of theories like psychohistory:

1. Some models of my History Mechanics proves that sometimes crimes like: holocaust, concentration camps (like British ones in South Africa 1900-1902), area bombarding or murdering oppositionists or let starving people die - are the most effective solution. Even vorse - are unevitable because of the basic laws of physics.

Psychohistory would be a deadly weapon - because would describe how to use every other weapon.

So, If I lived in USA, I probably buy a gun and shot myself into head just for moral reasons - somebody sooner or later would discover History Mechanics because of criticall mass rule, but it would be not my guilt.

When you acting, you are responsible of victims that are the side effects of your actions.
When you do not acting, you are responsible for victims o your cowardice and hiding in an ivory tower.
And there is no god answer.

2. When a scientist finally discover psychohistory, he/she without resources (money and followers) would be no more than a puppet in the hands of politicians, when they discover how a wonderful tool to rule the people they have - recall scientists of early XXth century.

3. And science fiction idea to have a less serious summary:
In fictional world where the 2nd foudation is modeling a long run history of primitive civilization (like in my stories of historic battleship modeling the history of primitive aliens using camouflaged brainwashing mahines CBM), aliens who work on psychohistory would be already puppets of 2nd foudation, before they discover what is happening.

Because computer-historic processes of these CBM will be a very sophisticated, some of them would fight with pople trying to discover psychohistory, while others will support them. Preparing a qualified personnel (opposition) that would take some responsibilities of 2nd when the system of manipulation is compromised is the only way to avoid chaos.

To give you an illustrative example:
If we live in a World like that (which of course is against all our present knowledge about physics) Steve Wallis trying to warn us about the second foundation would be a puppet of some political computer process inside the 2nd foundation, and the people who want to remove him from this list would be a puppets of another political process.
;-)

Regards
Slawomir Dzieniszewski
---------------------------------------------------------
Mechanics of History
http://www.geocities.com/historymech/

A sad day

2005-09-01T17:19:00.000+02:00

Yesterday: tragedy on the Baghdad Bridge about 1000 victims - mainly womens of children. Effect of panic because of fear of the terrorist attack.
Partialy becauso of that I sent tooday a lettet to Adam Michnik from newspaper Gazeta Wyborcza with link to my History Mechanics Web page:
http://www.geocities.com/historymech/

(these days are also probably a thousands of victims of the hurricane and flood in USA. But this tragedy have no political links, other than that the high prices of oil that helps a few populistic governments, and the scale of tragedy is probably in part an effect of Bush administration incompetence.)

An anniversary of Bieslan tragedy.

By the way

2005-08-30T14:21:00.000+02:00

I would forget, I also sent e-mails to:
SETI center
Erich von Daniken
Some Bayern Christian Scientific Society

A little sense of humor is sometimes necessary to survive.

Who was warned c.d.

2005-08-26T16:01:00.000+02:00

A little supplement to the list of persons and institutions wchich was informed about the History Mechanics (http://www.geocities.com/historymech/) from previous post.

2003-2004.
Adam Smith Center in Poland, Polish Economic Society.
CISCO Systems Inc. - one of the firms that help Chinesee government ot censore the Internet (people never learns, if you recal the case of IBM from World War II).
2005
The Pope Benedict XVI.

Also mys strange feeling I have mentioned spoking about terroristic attacks in Britain (prevoius-previous post) appeared to be only a feeling. Nothing happened.

Who was warned

2005-08-22T21:40:00.000+02:00

I sent the advertisement of History Mechanics to many people and institutions.
http://www.geocities.com/historymech/
Here is the (incomplete, forgive me, my memories faded) list for historians reference.
E-mails were sent since the October 2001. Generally there was no positive answer from anyone (some exceptions are mentioned).
So, in (more or less) chronological order:

2001
I had only a few MS Word files - a short introduction in Polish. More or less the core of the theory.

President of Poland, Prime Minister of Poland, Parliament of Poland.
Embassies of: USA, France, Great Britain, Japan, Israel, (probably also Germany and Itally), and Russia. Only answer was from the USA, Richard Matel wished me good luck. Computer servers of Russia's embassy had malfunction - well, after 11 Sep 2001 I was not suprised.
Jacek Kochanowicz fron the Warsaw University, faculty of Economics - answer but no help because lack of time.
Agora (publisher of Gazeta Wyborcza, most prominent newspaper in Poland), plus maybe some other Polish newspapers (like Rzeczpospolita, Polityka, etc.), but I am not sure.

2002

None - lack of money, lack of time, lack of strenght, lack of courage.

2003-2004

Since June 2003 I have Web site (http://www.geocities.com/historymech) - Great thanks for Jonathan Price (autor of enlighting book "Web Writing that Works").

Also great thanks for Theodora.com (http://www.theodora.com/maps/).

Since summer: numerous Universities and scholars including Cambridge, Oxford, Columbia, Stanford, Sorbona, Viadrina, MIT, a few dozens, maybe over hundred addresses - I think.
Probably autumn: Soros foundation (a few times - they was not interested), Kluge foundation and a few such addresses.
Hundreds of newspapers all over the Net (from http://www.onlinenewspapers.com/). Generally at least one newspaper from every mature (a few years of democracy) democratic country from Andorra to Uruguay. Some examples: New York Times, Washington Post, New York Herald, Los Angeles Times, El Pais, Times, Corriere della Sera, The Economist, The Observer, L'Osservatore Romano, Le Monde, L'Humanite, Japan Times, Die Zeit, Der Spiegel, etc. etc.
Every major newspaper and several magazines in Poland, including "Gazeta Wyborcza" a few dozens of times.
Polish Pariament (every party that was present) - three times.
President of Poland (continious problems with mail server, no contact).
President of Ukraine just before the "orange revolution".
Polish Govenment (prime minister) plus Ministry of Foreign Affairs and some other institutions.
Prince Abdullah of Saudi Arabia.
Josep Borell, president of UE parliament.
John Kerry, Laura Bush a month (or so) before the election.
Many e-mailing list on Yahoo groups.
Several scholars fron Warsaw University, Faculty of Economics.
President of USA.
Several publishers.

2005

President of Poland (end of the problems with server).
Pentagon.
Francis Fukuyama (maybe not the first time) and some other scholars interested in political economy, sociology, economics, history, Ian Stewart, David S. Landes.
Prime Minister of Ukraine, Parliament of Georgia, President of Georgia.
President of Kyrgyzstan (a day before the revolution).
President of Russia (10 may).
President of Ukraine (10 may because of server problems).
United Nations (president of the General Assembly office).
President of Belarus (two times).
Prime Minister of Great Britain - two times, just after the terrorist attacks in London.
Several publishers.
January-June - hundreds of addresses stolen from some chinesee posts (probably some agency sponsored by China government, author of these e-mails was also informed):

<>Plus three presidential candidates (this year election): Zbigniew Religa, Marek Borowski, Maria Szyszkowska.

Thats all, more or less.
Revised 23 August 2005.

Strange feeling

2005-07-19T18:16:00.000+02:00

For a day or two I have the same strange feeling as I have before 11 September 2001 (for two months). Is something bad about to happen, or it is only a feeling?

Political systems of mid-2005

2005-07-18T15:49:00.000+02:00

And the new map of political systems (populistic, democratic).
World at the end of June 2005.
http://www.geocities.com/historymech/maps2.html#2005

Please contact me, If you think that I made mistake about your country:
mailto:holygraal@epf.pl

Early Medieval History

2005-07-14T18:56:00.000+02:00

The page about economic and historical processes in early medieval ages (Vth - Xth centuries) is ready:
http://www.geocities.com/historymech/rew1medieval.html
Here you can find some basic economic models - ex. Solow Growth Model and some notes on Arabic science.

Mechanics of History

2005-02-03T15:02:00.000+01:00

laws to understand the history
http://www.geocities.com/historymech/

Now with the History of India finished.